Wednesday, January 4, 2012

And the REAL winner is ...



If you do a little old-fashioned research, you might discover that PAUL actually won the Caucus by collecting the most votes? No. The most DELEGATES.

Maybe the idea about removing Obama (Bush) was correct.

Regard$,
--MJ

"I watched the caucus last night on-line on fox's and nyt websites. As usual there were some typical comments from the people at the Fox desk - also many fair and decent observations among them - but one in particular caught my ear. One of the commentators - a former Democratic pollster - suggested that one of the reasons for this relative peace between Mitt Romney and Ron Paul is the fact that in a brokered convention Ron Paul's delegates might be a crucial asset for Romney that he might try to get by offering to take Rand Paul on his ticket. While not something you might expect from Ron Paul it certainly seems like a viable strategy for Romney's campaign in 2012 since there is very very few winner-takes-all states in the primary process which will undoubtedly force a brokered convention. Besides Mitt Romney never struck me as a particularly honest warmonger. It all looked to me as just another attempt to gain credibility. If it paid him to be the peace candidate to get the nomination - watch him go! Also isn't it a coincidence that Florida is one of those very few states that kept winner-takes-all status? And that it will host the convention? Are we going to see 2000 again?

But my most pressing question would be why there is so much talk about the showing during the caucus and who got to win or come second but nobody mentions that what matters - again - is how many delegates for a state caucus - were elected for each candidate. Here is a link that shows what was really most important in this year's political battle.

http://www.businessinsider.com/ron-paul-winner-iowa-caucuses-strategy-201201

"Godzich and Sydney Hay, another Paul advisor, crisscrossed Iowa in the weeks leading up to the caucuses, making sure precinct leaders knew what to do and organizing slates of delegates that would ensure Paul walked away with a strong majority, even if he lost the caucus' straw poll vote. By the eve of Election Day, Hay said she was confident that Paul would come away from Iowa with a strong majority of the state's delegates."

Worst case scenario leaves Ron Paul with the same amount of delegates as Romney. Somehow I really doubt magic numbers for Rick Santorum somehow will translate into delegates for the state caucus. In turn it might be just Mitt Romney and Ron Paul getting majority of the 28 delegates to Tampa. As a result of the strategy every caucus during the primary can hopefully bring disproportionate advantage to Ron Paul. -- Pawel Krzywulski:

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