Republicans Jump Out To Historic Lead In Gallup Generic Ballot

 

Republicans Jump Out To Historic Lead In Gallup Generic Ballot

Gallup's generic polling shows the number of voters saying that they would vote for Republicans rising three points from last week, while the number saying they will vote for Democrats dropped four points.  The 49%-43% lead for the Republicans is the largest that the pollster has ever recorded for the party.  Moreover, Democratic enthusiasm for voting this fall fell a point, while enthusiasm among Republicans stayed about fifteen points higher.  This indicates an even wider lead for Republicans once Gallup imposes a likely voter screen this fall.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/generic_congressional_vote-901.html

It's been around 9% on Rasmussen's more accurate "Likely" voters for months.

To understand what that means, even with the historical incumbent advantage, statistically, it would mean the Republicans would get 55% of the House.

If one adds the "enthusiasm" gap, it would be more.

And if one eliminates the incumbent advantage, not likely historically, the Democrats would be lucky to get 25% of the House.

And if, heaven forbid, the incumbent in this anti-incumbent year was a disadvantage, which is rather unlikely, but who knows, the Democrats would be lucky to get 5% of the House.

And I wouldn't bet the Ranch it won't get worse as the coasts of the Eastern US are covered in oil with Obama taking full responsibility, after supporting offshore drilling, and after being BP's favorite poltitician for financial gifts.  And anything else that could go  wrong.

Gonna be some fun congressional hearings compared to the last 2 years, you betcha.

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